Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.165712 0.177425 0.189674 0.203459 0.218572 0.234666 0.253141
2026-01-11 0.144302 0.161213 0.179903 0.202197 0.228206 0.257759 0.294122
2026-01-18 0.130692 0.150050 0.172226 0.199719 0.233177 0.272949 0.324370
2026-01-25 0.120036 0.140749 0.165151 0.196339 0.235604 0.284031 0.349285
2026-02-01 0.114988 0.137432 0.164556 0.200214 0.246560 0.305765 0.388810
2026-02-08 0.108155 0.131276 0.159802 0.198180 0.249399 0.316799 0.414648
2026-02-15 0.103095 0.126913 0.156866 0.198039 0.254374 0.330624 0.445063
2026-02-22 0.097186 0.121054 0.151550 0.194238 0.253895 0.336627 0.464449
2026-03-01 0.093061 0.117251 0.148643 0.193377 0.257225 0.347955 0.492336
2026-03-08 0.090025 0.114691 0.147192 0.194325 0.263014 0.363037 0.527043
2026-03-15 0.085930 0.110484 0.143247 0.191461 0.262973 0.369292 0.548173
2026-03-22 0.082672 0.107252 0.140455 0.190030 0.264853 0.378435 0.574591
2026-03-29 0.080920 0.106054 0.140485 0.192752 0.273249 0.398448 0.621450
2026-04-05 0.078051 0.103166 0.137980 0.191571 0.275535 0.408877 0.652839
2026-04-12 0.075059 0.099969 0.134863 0.189260 0.275826 0.415951 0.678777
2026-04-19 0.072033 0.096595 0.131332 0.186107 0.274522 0.420172 0.699739
2026-04-26 0.071116 0.096222 0.132172 0.189722 0.284386 0.444041 0.760224
2026-05-03 0.068757 0.093642 0.129606 0.187825 0.284947 0.451671 0.789814
2026-05-10 0.067008 0.091893 0.128207 0.187694 0.288433 0.464689 0.831542
2026-05-17 0.064490 0.088908 0.124805 0.184147 0.285817 0.466355 0.849852
2026-05-24 0.062796 0.087100 0.123138 0.183344 0.287900 0.476818 0.887909
2026-05-31 0.061602 0.086004 0.122520 0.184228 0.292982 0.493265 0.940889
2026-06-07 0.059631 0.083656 0.119857 0.181555 0.291504 0.496927 0.965515